SP Angel Morning Energiser: 27/03/23

Oil speculation dwindles

Genel Energy (GENL LN) - Pipeline exports suspended after arbitration ruling

Arbitration ruling has led to suspension of pipeline exports. Genel (along with KRI peers DNO, Gulf Keystone and ShaMaran) has announced the temporary suspension of oil exports through the Turkey pipeline to Ceyhan on the Mediterranean coast. This follows a ruling in Paris on an arbitration case between the central Baghdad government and Turkey (ongoing since 2014), with the International Chamber of Commerce arbitration panel ruling that Turkey cannot export KRI oil via the pipeline without perm

Auctus on Friday - 24/03/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at RCE-4 – The RCE-4 well has been put in production. It has produced at a rate of 728 bbl/d (364 bbl/d net to Arrow) of 28.5 API oil with a 1% water cut from the C7-A and C7 Stringer zones over the last 24 hours. This is a similar result as at RCE-3 (24 h flow rate of 968 bbl/d gross/484 bbl/d net). As was the case at RCE-3, the RCE-4 well is also flowing na

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 22/03/23

Crude prices looking for direction

Genel Energy (GENL LN) - Full year 2022 results

Numbers in line with January trading statement. Genel has released its full year results to December 2022. The company released a trading statement in January reporting full year net production of 30.2mbbl/d, CAPEX of US$140m, free cash flow of US$233m, gross cash of US$495m and net cash of US$228m. Today’s report bears these numbers out, meaning there is a limited amount of new news in the statement from a numbers point of view

Auctus on Friday - 17/03/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.10 per share: Drilling news flow. Production growth. Value. – 2023 is expected to be a busy and transformational year for ADX. The company plans to grow gross production at Anshof (4.2 mmbbl net 2P reserves) to almost 1,000 bbl/d with two new wells by YE23. At that level, ADX can generate US$13 mm operating cashflow per year (after tax). This represents ~65% of the company’s market cap. The An

Genel Energy (GENL LN) - End 2022 reserves update

Reserves down on volumes produced, partly counteracted by Tawke technical upgrade. Genel has released an update on its reserves as of the end of 2022. These are lower overall largely as a result of 2022 production, with net 2P moving to 92.2mmbbl at the end of 2022 from 104.2mmbbl at the end of 2021.

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 16/03/23

Energy sector brought low by banking crisis

Auctus on Friday - 10/03/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LM) C; Target price of £0.55 per share: One step closer to FID – Production ramp-up quicker than expected – Chariot has completed the Front-End Engineering and Design (FEED) on the key components of the Anchois gas development project. The FEED confirms a plateau production of 105 mmcf/d from three wells including the existing Anchois-2 well, subsea infrastructure to an onshore central processing facility and an onshore g

Genel Energy (GENL LN) - Full year trading update

Genel has released a full year trading update. This reports full year net production of 30.2mbbl/d, within the 30-31mbbl/d guidance range. Net production for Q4 2022 was 29.6mbbl/d, from 30.2mbbl/d in Q3, representing a broadly steady performance supported by the Tawke drilling carried out during the year.

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 17/01/23

Crude oil flat in thin markets

Auctus on Friday - 16/12/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.55 per share: Agreeing long term offtake gas sales principles is a very important step - Key principles for long term gas sales from the Anchois Gas Project have been agreed with the Office National de l'Electricité et de l'Eau Potable. This will cover sales of up to 60 mmcf/d that will be sold locally on a take or pay basis for a minimum of ten years. The gas will be delivered via the Maghreb Eur

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 13/12/22

Oil bounces off 2022 lows

Genel Energy - Sarta update

Sarta update

Auctus on Friday - 04/11/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.070 per share: Anshof Reserves estimate well above expectations – RISC estimates that the Anshof field holds 5.2 mmboe of 2P gross reserves (4.2 mmboe net to ADX). This is well ahead of our expectations of ~1.8 mmboe. 85% of the previously estimated mid-case recoverable resources are now classified as 2P reserves. The 2P reserves estimate is based on an assumption of a water oil contact at 1,

LIBERUM: Sylvania Platinum* - 3p interim dividend & new policy

Updated Alkaid #2 test results

SHORE CAPITAL - Savannah Energy+ (SAVE, Under Review, Suspended) - Chad upstream asset update

Loony for Bougouni

Jubilee Metals - H1 FY2023 results

Jubilee today provides its unaudited financial results for the half-year period ending December 2022. Group Revenue of £63.1m (H1 FY2022: £63m) with £58m from its chrome/PGM operations in South Africa and £5m from copper in Zambia. Headline EBITDA of £10.3m (£13.7m) with a closing cash position of £11.7m (£21.5m) after continuing its capital investment program of £24.1m (£28.4m). Production of PGM was down in the period at 18.2koz (20.3koz), but all was from its own facility at Inyoni so cap

Union Jack Oil (UJO LN) - Wressle update

Ongoing strong production from Wressle. Union Jack has released an update on revenues from its Wressle field (Union Jack 40%). Wressle has now achieved over US$14m of cumulative net revenues from the field since mid-August 2021, from US$13m as of early February 2023. The field continues to produce under natural flow and with zero water cut (most recently reported at a gross rate of 825-850bbl/d). These Wressle revenues continue to help underpin company financial performance, while also providing

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 06 Mar 23

6 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objective

FY22 - Focus on the next 6 months' operations

Savannah Energy - Chad upstream business nationalised

The Republic of Chad has nationalised the upstream assets Savannah recently acquired from ExxonMobil. While disappointing, Savannah remains highly free cash flow generative, an attribute the approaching completion of Petronas’s South Sudan oil business is set to boost further.

i3 Energy Update to Fair Value Estimate

We are updating our fair value estimate to reflect more conservative oil and gas price assumptions. We have lowered our 2023 WTI oil price estimate to $74.05/b from $83.10/b, to align our estimates with market dynamics. We have lowered our US benchmark (Henry Hub) natural gas price for 2023 to $3.02/mmbtu from $3.36/mmbtu, which reflects the most recent price forecast made by US EIA Short Term Energy Outlook. As a result, we are lowering our fair value estimate for i3 Energy to 26.2p from 31.6p

SHORE CAPITAL - TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION+ (TXP, 61p, House Stock) - FY22A results exceed our forecasts; Cascadura remains on track versus prior guidance

Morning Note – 27 March 2023

Union Jack Oil (UJO LN) - Interim dividend declaration

New interim dividend of 0.3p. Union Jack has announced an interim dividend of 0.3p/share. This follows the 0.8p/share paid in 2022, and is enabled by the ongoing cash flows being generated from the company's Wressle development. Union Jack's share buyback programme also continues, with 2,825k shares repurchased so far (out of a potential up to 11.3m).

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Production back at 20 mbbl/d. Regular payments from Petroperu

• Production was constrained in January and February, with average production of ~7,600 bbl/d and 8,000 bbl/d respectively, due to restricted barging capacity over these two months. • The barging fleet schedules have now been re-established with an increased capacity of 1.5 mmbbl (1.2 mmbbl in 2022) and PetroTal’s production has been averaging 20 mbbl/d since the last week of February. • Given the constrained production rates over January and February, the company now expects 1Q23 production t

Kenmare Resources: FY22 another year of financial records culminating in a USc54.3/sh dividend

Kenmare (“KMR”) released record FY22 financial results this morning, with realised prices exceeding expectations and delivering EBITDA of US$298m, 6% above H&Pe and up 39% YoY. This generated the largest full year dividend to date at 54.3 cps, implying a trailing yield of 10.2%. As reported on 2nd March, an early set back caused by an unprecedent lightning strike has dented output in Q1’23, although KMR still believes the bottom end of its FY23 range is achievable. With the Company seeing some s