Event in Progress:
Discover the latest content that has just been published on Research Tree
After persistent volatility for the top-line in Q1-Q2 22, Klépierre’s performance now looks to be progressively stabilising as it benefits from the rising contribution from inflation.
Companies: Klepierre (LI:EPA)Klepierre SA (LI:PAR)
AlphaValue
The guidance was raised due to positive one-offs. Vacancy stopped improving, thus confirming the stabilisation since December 2021.
Companies: Klepierre SA (LI:PAR)Klepierre SA (0F4I:LON)
Klépierre addressed the thematic of consumer spending while confirming its guidance. The H2 21 recovery in occupancy stalled in Q1 22.
Due to its own positioning (more global than local), Klépierre’s recovery should be strong in H1 22, for technical reasons first: sure, a favourable base effect will help. There are still a couple of quarters before landing in full.
Business is about to normalise progressively. The rent collection rate should soon be back to its usual pre-crisis level and new rent abatements are now targeting zero.
Despite a slower recovery that one could have expected in 2020, values were resilient in H1 21. The c.4% p.a. was half the FY 20 degradation pace. Even if we question the roughly stable appraisals, the fact is that the released figures were reassuring.
Klepierre confirmed other players’ views: shoppers are back in the shops as from reopening, targeting 90% of 2019 retailers’ revenue. No strong consumption catch-up (i.e. sales above 2019 levels) was observable to date, nevertheless. Klépierre’s shopping malls should reopen in full as from mid-May.
The company’s FY 21 guidance wasn’t that aggressive in assuming a lower FFO per share. Is this because some non-recurring items could be considered as recurring?
Companies: Klepierre SA
Prior to the impact of further lockdown measures adopted in early Q4 20 across Europe, Q3 20 was stabilising vs. Q2 20. Both tenant revenues and footfall were stabilising at c.10% below their 2019 levels. The good news, however, was that rents did not collapse in Q3 20. The question remains whether this recovery will be sufficient to avoid a recap. March 2021 (annual figures, including values) will at least provide the answer.
The negative revaluation of 2.8% vs. December 2019 demonstrates a c. 6% annual pace. Valuers warned that valuation “could” adjust strongly in H2 20. Consumption was far from having fully recovered in Klépierre’s shopping malls in June 2020. Please wait.
The Q1 20 figures from the old world were unsurprisingly good with a stable revenue, lfl. As Hammerson confirmed today that Orion decided not to buy its £400m retail parks in the UK, we can assume that all other players will experience some difficulties in selling assets in the coming quarters. How will Klépierre’s balance sheet react to the crisis?
Erosion of Gross Asset Value was 1.1% in H2 19 (at constant perimeter) and 2% over FY 19. Don’t wait for a strong share price rebound but annual dividend yield looks safe (c.7%) as the retailer’s sales stand in positive territory (+1.8% for FY 19).
Except for France (36% of revenue) at +0.7% lfl, stable below inflation, the bulk of Klépierre’s tenants revenue showed an acceleration all over Europe. The key accelerations were located in Germany, Italy and Scandinavia.
Klepierre experienced a slight negative revaluation of 0.9% in its full €24bn portfolio in H1 19. The rate does not look harsh, but it could last. For now, more than some peers, the group is protected by its 3% lfl growth in rents. All in all, the NNNAV was down 3.6% in six months despite its resilient rents.
Klepierre released nice 3% organic growth in Q1 (rents). However, we focus on tenants’ sales growing by only 0.3%, well under the 0.9% FY 18 growth and the 2.5% CAGR applied by valuers to Klepierre’s mid-term rents.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Klepierre SA. We currently have 42 research reports from 2 professional analysts.
Companies: Agronomics Limited
Canaccord Genuity
Companies: Trident Royalties Plc
Liberum
On 10 January last year, we set out our ten top stock picks for 2022, in what turned out to be a very poor twelve months for global equities, due to war, accelerating inflation, political instability and recession fears. Between 7 January 2022 and 31 December 2022, the AIM All-Share Index declined 30.0%, whilst the average performance of our ten top picks was -24.7%, a modest relative outperformance. In this note we discuss the performance of our 2022 top picks, equities trends in 2022, and our
Companies: GHH SCE BGO TPT ZOO ASTO INCH DWF EQLS NXR
Zeus Capital
Performance - 2022 ended with another difficult month for property companies as the sector continues to get to grips with the impact of higher interest rates. There were several funds that performed well during December, however, with secondary shopping centre landlord Capital & Regional top of the pile. For a second month on the trot Home REIT saw its share price tank after it came under attack from a short seller in November. Valuation moves - It was a mixed bag for valuations, with six-month
Companies: GWW GWW TOWN API RLE LMP CAPC WHR CSH ASLI PCA EBOX RGLZ ESP PHP SHED SRE MLI RGL CRC CBA DELMUR
QuotedData Professional
Argentex has issued a trading update for the 9M22 period this morning, with revenue and earnings performance ahead of expectations. FY22 revenues are up 54% yoy to £50.4m (+7.5% vs. SCM estimates) and operating margins are ahead of management expectations. This was driven by growth in the number of corporate clients as well as good progress across its growth strategy, with robust trading across all products and geographies. Another strong update from Argentex, as the Group continues to deliver o
Companies: Argentex Group Plc
Singer Capital Markets
Made Tech has announced a very strong update: H1 sales +76% y/y and alongside this, also several wins/expansions worth £27m. As a result, Made Tech has now delivered 48%/FY23e sales and as well, has a very strong backlog: £48m (+53% y/y) so is very well positioned to drive continued growth, both this year and next. Margins meanwhile leave room for improvement, as having generated £0.5m EBITDA in H1, this leaves work to do, but with contractors now materially lower (at c.10% vs. c.20% in the PY)
Companies: Made Tech Group PLC
Marlowe hosted a well-attended CMD last week in which it provided a deep dive into its burgeoning software business, which from a standing start in 2018, has grown to represent c25% of group Adj EBITDA today, driven by a combination of targeted acquisitions and strong organic growth (mid-high teens in FY22A). Multiple macro drivers underpin growth in the global GRC market, which is expanding at a c8% CAGR. With the share price having nearly halved over the past 12-months, Marlowe now trades mate
Companies: Marlowe Plc
Cenkos Securities
Companies: Property Franchise Group PLC
17 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object
Companies: RNO WINE CNS HVO HVO RFX KIBO
Hybridan
Trident Royalties Plc (AIM: TRR) has, this morning, provided an update on its activities undertaken during the quarter ended 31 December 2022. In terms of royalty receipts it has been the best quarter since inception. QoQ revenues increased 46% to US$3.5m (9x YoY). Each royalty either met or exceeded our forecasts with Koolyanobbing 52% ahead. The gold offtake portfolio was slightly above our forecast.
Tamesis Partners
The lithium industry, perhaps the hottest sub-sector of mining right now, was set even more abuzz by the announcement yesterday that Lithium Americas Corp has secured a $650m financing package from General Motors for the development and construction of the Thacker Pass mine in Nevada. There has been some talk for a while on when an automaker was going to make a serious investment in a battery metal mine. This is the largest ever and it is suitable that it is in Thacker Pass which is the largest
Companies: FTC BLV TRX KMK DX/ SOM
finnCap
23 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object
Companies: CFX SUN LDSG GTC SIS TST EMAN SHED BOOM
19 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object
Companies: JDG CRW DXSP IKA CPP G4M AREC
Share: