QuotedData’s Real Estate Monthly Roundup – January 2023

Performance - 2022 ended with another difficult month for property companies as the sector continues to get to grips with the impact of higher interest rates. There were several funds that performed well during December, however, with secondary shopping centre landlord Capital & Regional top of the pile. For a second month on the trot Home REIT saw its share price tank after it came under attack from a short seller in November. Valuation moves - It was a mixed bag for valuations, with six-month

QuotedData’s Real Estate Monthly Roundup – January 2023

Performance - 2022 ended with another difficult month for property companies as the sector continues to get to grips with the impact of higher interest rates. There were several funds that performed well during December, however, with secondary shopping centre landlord Capital & Regional top of the pile. For a second month on the trot Home REIT saw its share price tank after it came under attack from a short seller in November. Valuation moves - It was a mixed bag for valuations, with six-month

Palace Capital* - 1HFY23 results – under pressure

Palace Capital has released interim results to the end of September reporting adjusted profit before tax of £3.5m (1HFY22 £4.0m) and adjusted EPS of 7.9p (1HFY22 8.7p), mainly reflecting rising financing costs. The dividend was maintained at the current quarterly run rate of 3.75p and net debt was held broadly flat. EPRA NTA per share fell 8.7% to 356p. The sale of the industrial portfolio remains paused but smaller commercial sales continue together with the sale of apartments at Hudson Quarter

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 10/10/22

Dish of the day Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: No leavers today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** OTAQ plc, (OTAQ.L) the technology company with three divisions: Aquaculture, Geotracking Devices and Offshore intends to delist from the Main Market and join the AQSE Growth Market.. OTAQ is developing adjacent technologies to take advantage of a number of growth initiatives that will broaden the Group’s current product portfolio in the global marine aquaculture sector and facilitate entry

Palace Capital* - 1H23 trading update – disposal programme paused

Palace Capital has published its interim trading update to the end of September ahead of the results due on 24 November. Rent collection and occupancy remain high with multiple lease events ahead of ERV. Annualised cost savings of £1.2m have been achieved and the company was net cash positive prior to the impact of the £6m share buyback. Since YE22 four investment properties have been disposed of realising £4.8m, 25% ahead of book value, and apartment sales at Hudson Quarter continued to progres

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: FLTR, GSK, 888, PCA, IQG, & JSE.

Palace Capital* - Further Board changes

Palace Capital has announced that Richard Starr, Executive Property Director, is to step down from the Board with immediate effect and leave the company at the end of September. This continues a period of Board change which accelerated after the company revised its new strategy. The current strategy is essentially one of liquidation which may have the effect of putting the company into play, in our view. In revising its new strategy, Palace Capital noted that it was mindful of consolidation in t

The Hardman & Co Monthly: August 2022

Feature article: Utility regulation – Changes afoot - Patching up a tainted model While the gas supply crisis – and its price implications – have dominated the UK price regulated sectors in recent months, other issues have arisen that have seriously tainted the price regulation system itself. Indeed, it is fair to ask whether it is ‘’fit for purpose’’. Back in 1984, price regulation, via an unsophisticated RPI-x formula, was introduced to prevent the privatised British Telecom (BT) from abusin

Hardman & Co Monthly: July 2022

Feature article: Punching above their weight? The contribution of small- and mid-cap quoted companies to markets, employment and tax revenues Back in May 2019, Hardman & Co and the Quoted Companies Alliance jointly published a paper looking at the importance of small and mid-size quoted companies (SMQCs) to the markets, and their contribution to tax revenues and employment in the UK. This is a poorly researched area, and that paper helped frame the debate; it has been quoted from by bodies such

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 04/07/2022

Joiners: Re-admission of 888 Holdings to the Main Market following the reverse takeover of William Hill. Leavers: Umuthi Healthcare Solutions has left the Main Market. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? Immediate acquisitions (IME.L) is to re-join AIM via a Reverse Takeover of Fiinu Holdings Limited. Once complete the Company is proposing to change its name to Fiinu Group plc. Fiinu intends to be a provider of a consumer banking product, the Plugin Overdraft ®, which is designed to provide custo

Palace Capital* - Strategy sharpened, 5% buyback commences

Further to its strategic review, Palace Capital intends to focus on becoming an ESG driven, regional office market specialist. To that end the company has announced a new £46.5m property disposal programme including its entire industrial property portfolio with the proceeds to be reinvested into the office sector. Palace Capital has also announced a buyback for up to 5% of its shares and continues to review its cost base. The outcome of the strategic review is to sharpen the focus on themes mana

Palace Capital* - FY22 results – Well placed, TP to 350p

Palace Capital reported adjusted results ahead of our forecast and the FY22 final EPRA NAV was 5% higher than we expected at 390p prompting an increase in our Target Price to 350p. Steven Owen has been appointed Interim Executive Chairman. Management expects to complete the strategic review by the AGM in July. The portfolio transformation and robust financial performance delivered by Palace Capital during FY22 underpinned a 26% increase in dividend, saw LTV fall to 28% from 42% delivered a 14.8%

Hardman & Co Monthly: June 2021

In terms of environmental policy, the quest to cut carbon emissions dramatically and to achieve net zero remains high on the political agenda, although the war in Ukraine – and specifically the issue of gas supplies – may weaken these commitments. In any event, the environmental performance of China and the US – responsible, between them, for around one half of global emissions – will be key. In Asia, where ca.85% of energy consumption is currently being met by fossil fuels – there are ca.4.6b

The Hardman & Co Monthly: May 2022

Feature article: Latest ONS survey: steady as she goes…and ignore retail investors at your peril The ONS (Office for National Statistics) has been charting the beneficial ownership of UK-quoted companies periodically since the early 1960s. The latest paper was published in March 2022, and considers the data for December 2020. At December 2020, “Rest of the World” investors owned 56.3% of the market, a further growth since the last survey, while UK institutions’ ownership edged up to 31.6%.

Palace Capital - Positive update and dividend increase

Palace Capital (PCA) has issued a positive trading update ahead of the expected June publication of results for the year ending 31 March 2022 (FY22). It expects recurring earnings to exceed market expectations, underpinned by leasing and other asset management activity, as well as acquisitions, and will increase the Q422 DPS by 15%.

CMD - Broadening & deepening client relationships

FLASH: In-line trading update

A dose of morosity

No change in the narrative. Aviva’s ship sails on as usual. The PRT business is still going well, inflation remains an impediment to a strong P&C improvement, retail customers seem more interested in the rising cost of living than savings’ products and Aviva investors see no real signs of an improvement. This is the same story as in recent quarters and, in that context, our thesis remains the same.

'Airlines will be shocked when Covid leases run out and rates go up’

In the Flow

Industry flows - bond funds remain preferred over equities Risk appetite for equity funds remained subdued with last week seeing $4bn net outflows (negative in 8 of the last 9 weeks). Flows worsened sequentially for Asia/EM categories, but improved for US and European equities. Bond funds saw inflows for a 10th straight week (c.$8bn) with broad based inflows across US government, IG and HY funds. Listed asset managers flows - inflows into ETFs, outflows from mutual funds ETFs net inflows contin

Cenkos: Duke Royalty Ltd -- Record revenues and more to come

Duke has released a Q1/24E trading update which points to a continuation of steady growth in recurring cash revenues and resilient underlying portfolio companies. Guidance for the quarter is for £6m of recurring cash revenues, and total cash revenues are expected to be c£7.5m once the buyout premium from Instor is accounted for. Duke's valuation looks very compelling at current levels with the FY24E dividend yield over 10% whilst being backed by FCF generation.

The Opportunity in Short-Termism

Fears vs Fundamentals (again) For 2 years, European banks have enjoyed potent earnings upgrades. For 2 years, valuations have been trapped between ''unease'' and ''outright panic'' multiples. This note looks at the latest fears and fundamentals behind this ongoing struggle. We extract lasting lessons from Q1, a record profit quarter, and extend our work on the fears of the moment: ''peak NIM'', CRE and credit contraction. Peak NIM - no, not yet We refresh our top-down margin work for the late

Morning Note – 30 May 2023

GenAI: How to Use It

You''ve been here before, right? Blockchain, the Metaverse - and now GenAI. Could this time really be different and the hype justified? The answer to this question is rooted in how GenAI can be used in the real world. In this report we thus challenge our sector teams to identify GenAI use-cases within their industries - and those companies likely to pioneer them. The result is perhaps the broadest consideration yet of how GenAI can diffuse through the economy. Efficiency is the common theme, pr

Critical Metals Plc - Molulu Operational Update - Target Price £1.14 ps

Event On the 15th May, Critical Metals plc released an operational update relating to their Molulu copper project in the DRC. Key Points 1. 6,500t of copper ore grading 3% copper has been mined 2. The mining focus is moving towards the high grade sulphide copper ore grading above 8.3% copper 3. No cobalt has been identified in the mining so far using hand-held XRF 4. Dewatering of the pits has begun with a trench decanting water from the small pit. Implications As soon as the road rehabilitation

NAHL Group plc: AGM update: Continued progress in scaling the business for future growth

NAHL’s AGM statement released today, is encouraging as management continues to scale the businesses for further growth. As a result, the Board’s expectations for the full year remain unchanged and we make no alterations to our forecasts. As a reminder, these still call for a c.13% increase in adjusted PBT in 2023, c.170% in FY24 and a further c.70% in FY25. Our current fair value remains at 65p but this is likely to rise as the Group delivers on its significant potential.

WH Ireland: Avation - Market tailwinds highlighted in Bloomberg Intelligence event

Avation is a lessor of 35 commercial aircraft to a diversified client base of 17 airlines. Yesterday's Bloomberg Intelligence webinar event entitled ‘Aircraft Lessor Recovery and Innovation' reaffirmed a number of positive market trends for aircraft lessors at the present time. Key points included: i) structural deficits in the supply of turboprop aircraft in the coming years, with aircraft retirements expected to outpace limited production of new aircraft; ii) the strong recovery in air travel

Early Mover in UK Lab-grown Meat

BSF Enterprise Plc (BSF) is a biotechnology company focused on acquiring, combining, and building businesses in the lab-grown tissue space. It aims to achieve this through an acquisition-led growth strategy and has already acquired the tissue engineering and cellular agriculture company, 3D Bio Tissues.

Very strong CY22 - CY23 upgraded 10%

Trading update indicates strong FY23 performance