QuotedData’s Real Estate Monthly Roundup – January 2023

Performance - 2022 ended with another difficult month for property companies as the sector continues to get to grips with the impact of higher interest rates. There were several funds that performed well during December, however, with secondary shopping centre landlord Capital & Regional top of the pile. For a second month on the trot Home REIT saw its share price tank after it came under attack from a short seller in November. Valuation moves - It was a mixed bag for valuations, with six-month

QuotedData’s Real Estate Monthly Roundup – January 2023

Performance - 2022 ended with another difficult month for property companies as the sector continues to get to grips with the impact of higher interest rates. There were several funds that performed well during December, however, with secondary shopping centre landlord Capital & Regional top of the pile. For a second month on the trot Home REIT saw its share price tank after it came under attack from a short seller in November. Valuation moves - It was a mixed bag for valuations, with six-month

Global Macro Commentary & Investment Companies Roundup January 2023

• Performance: Atrato Onsite Roof soars as investors look on the bright side. • Premiums and discounts: Investors deserting Pollen Street following dividend cut. • Money in and out: Funds struggle to attract new funding.

Global Macro Commentary & Investment Companies Roundup January 2023

• Performance: Atrato Onsite Roof soars as investors look on the bright side. • Premiums and discounts: Investors deserting Pollen Street following dividend cut. • Money in and out: Funds struggle to attract new funding.

abrdn Property Income Trust – Laser focus on the basics

The discount rating amongst the real estate sector has widened dramatically since the end of September after the disastrous ‘mini’-budget spooked gilt markets and sent bond yields above property yields. Things have since calmed down to some degree and even though the repricing of real estate has further to play out, the near 50% discount that abrdn Property Income Trust’s (API – formerly Standard Life Investments Property Income Trust) shares trade on seems excessive. Higher debt refinancing co

abrdn Property Income Trust – Laser focus on the basics

The discount rating amongst the UK real estate sector has widened dramatically since the end of September after the ‘mini’-budget caused bond yields to rise above property yields. Gilts have reduced since October and even though the repricing of real estate is likely to have further to play out, abrdn Property Income Trust’s (API – formerly Standard Life Investments Property Income Trust) finds itself on a near 50% discount. Higher debt refinancing costs secured at the height of the volatility

Standard Life Investments Property Income Trust - Resilient income in uncertain times

Standard Life Investments Property Income Trust’s (SLI’s) portfolio has performed strongly over the past year, posting a net asset value (NAV) total return of 30.7%. It is reaping the rewards of its manager pivoting the portfolio’s focus onto the well-performing industrial and logistics sector many years ago (it now makes up 55% of the portfolio). This has allowed the manager to sell assets for substantial profits in a buoyant investment market for industrial assets; focusing on properties that

Post-COVID ready

Standard Life Investments Property Income Trust’s (SLI’s) manager has tweaked its investment criteria, putting a greater emphasis on holding assets with strong ESG credentials. These follow structural trends that have emerged during COVID. In the pursuit of durable income with growth potential, high-yielding investments have made way for newer, quality assets that the manager believes meet future occupier and investor demand in a post-COVID world. With eyes firmly fixed on the future, the fund i

Post-COVID ready

Standard Life Investments Property Income Trust’s (SLI’s) manager has tweaked its investment criteria, putting a greater emphasis on holding assets with strong environmental, social and governance (ESG) credentials (see page 10). These follow structural trends that have emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the pursuit of durable income with growth potential, investments in higher-yielding, secondary assets have made way for newer, quality assets that the manager believes will meet future occ

CMD - Broadening & deepening client relationships

A dose of morosity

No change in the narrative. Aviva’s ship sails on as usual. The PRT business is still going well, inflation remains an impediment to a strong P&C improvement, retail customers seem more interested in the rising cost of living than savings’ products and Aviva investors see no real signs of an improvement. This is the same story as in recent quarters and, in that context, our thesis remains the same.

'Airlines will be shocked when Covid leases run out and rates go up’

Morning Note – 24 May 2023

The Opportunity in Short-Termism

Fears vs Fundamentals (again) For 2 years, European banks have enjoyed potent earnings upgrades. For 2 years, valuations have been trapped between ''unease'' and ''outright panic'' multiples. This note looks at the latest fears and fundamentals behind this ongoing struggle. We extract lasting lessons from Q1, a record profit quarter, and extend our work on the fears of the moment: ''peak NIM'', CRE and credit contraction. Peak NIM - no, not yet We refresh our top-down margin work for the late

In the Flow

Industry flows - bond funds remain preferred over equities Risk appetite for equity funds remained subdued with last week seeing $4bn net outflows (negative in 8 of the last 9 weeks). Flows worsened sequentially for Asia/EM categories, but improved for US and European equities. Bond funds saw inflows for a 10th straight week (c.$8bn) with broad based inflows across US government, IG and HY funds. Listed asset managers flows - inflows into ETFs, outflows from mutual funds ETFs net inflows contin

NAHL Group plc: AGM update: Continued progress in scaling the business for future growth

NAHL’s AGM statement released today, is encouraging as management continues to scale the businesses for further growth. As a result, the Board’s expectations for the full year remain unchanged and we make no alterations to our forecasts. As a reminder, these still call for a c.13% increase in adjusted PBT in 2023, c.170% in FY24 and a further c.70% in FY25. Our current fair value remains at 65p but this is likely to rise as the Group delivers on its significant potential.

Morning Note – 30 May 2023

WH Ireland: Avation - Market tailwinds highlighted in Bloomberg Intelligence event

Avation is a lessor of 35 commercial aircraft to a diversified client base of 17 airlines. Yesterday's Bloomberg Intelligence webinar event entitled ‘Aircraft Lessor Recovery and Innovation' reaffirmed a number of positive market trends for aircraft lessors at the present time. Key points included: i) structural deficits in the supply of turboprop aircraft in the coming years, with aircraft retirements expected to outpace limited production of new aircraft; ii) the strong recovery in air travel

This Week's AIM Highlights 19th May

Early Mover in UK Lab-grown Meat

BSF Enterprise Plc (BSF) is a biotechnology company focused on acquiring, combining, and building businesses in the lab-grown tissue space. It aims to achieve this through an acquisition-led growth strategy and has already acquired the tissue engineering and cellular agriculture company, 3D Bio Tissues.

Very strong CY22 - CY23 upgraded 10%

An Asian exploration

We spent last week with HSBC and STAN in Hong Kong and Singapore, delving into the detail of structural drivers for Asia. Both banks have a good story to tell, with business models that are well positioned and being enhanced further. In isolation we did not learn enough to warrant a change in recommendation but tailwinds from the region are not to be overlooked. A deep dive into a core part of the investment case Asia sits at the core of the investment case for both HSBC and STAN given its share

c.60% discount to NAV... Can deep value prevail?

Petershill (PHP) reported a Q1-23 double digit % headline miss on FRE/DE mostly driven by cyclical factors. However, fundraising was resilient including more closings after quarter end and PHP reiterated FY2023 guidance ($220-250m FRE). We remain outperform, 250p target price. Weakness on headline earnings amid a muted industry backdrop Private markets are being tested in 2023 with private equity deal activity down c.50-80% y/y. In this context, the headline Q1 miss was mostly driven by cyclica

Trading update indicates strong FY23 performance