Castings Plc (CGS LN) - Initiation of coverage: Strong recovery in FY22

FY22 results show a marked recovery on the pandemic impacted FY21 numbers with volumes broadly in line with pre-Covid levels, albeit c.5% below FY19 peak. Revenue increased 29.5% to £148.6m (FY21: £114.7m) with adj operating profit of £12.0m (FY21: £4.3m), a 180% increase yoy as the margin more than doubled to 8.1% (FY21: 3.7%) benefitting from the recovery in volume and with prices increasing 4.7%. Despite the strong recovery in FY22, several important KPIs remain below pre-pandemic levels with

Improving confidence triggers special dividend

FY22E beat

Strong OEM demand supports compelling value case

Castings* - Interim Results – OEM and Supply Chain Disruption

Castings has released FY22 interim results which highlight the supply chain challenges in the truck OEM industry. The headlines figures and trends had already been flagged at the recent trading update so the trends are largely known. The Group is well positioned to grow earnings as supply chain conditions normalise. Buy

Castings* - Interim Trading Update – OEM Disruption

Castings has released an interim trading update that chimes with much of the recent sector news flow in that supply chain challenges and resulting truck OEM disruption are impacting the sales and margins at Castings. Industry demand remains high which cushions part of the story but near term issues are likely to impact trading through the second half.

Castings* - AGM Trading Update

Castings has issued an AGM trading update indicating that output in the first fiscal quarter was in line with pre-COVID years but with some scheduling and supply chain challenges which create some uncertainty through the balance of the year. However, truck demand has proven very strong and we anticipate high production at the Group should support growth and margins through FY22. Buy.

Castings* - FY21 Results In Line – Excellent outlook for FY22

Castings reported FY21 results largely inline with our forecasts and, despite truck customer disruption due to global semiconductor shortages, volumes are likely to increase in the second half of FY22. Castings is maintaining full production through FY22 with increasing back stock which bodes well for margin performance with potential further EPS upgrades on the horizon considering the level of customer activity. Reiterate buy rating.

Castings* - Trading Update Inline – Upside to FY22

Castings has released a trading update highlighting that output levels have, in general, been strong and inline with previous trajectory noted at the interim results in November. The Group indicates that results for FY21 are anticipated to be in line with market expectations. Following on from this, we believe upside risk to forecasts for FY22 could result in meaningful share price returns. Buy

Castings* - Improving outlook – Reinstating Forecasts

As expected, Castings' interim results highlighted a tough period with customer shutdowns and lockdown measures causing a 43% decline in revenue. Pent-up demand, a recovering trucking industry and strong new truck orders supports activity levels that have now reached 100% of pre-COVID levels and likely to exceed this in short order. Reinstate buy rating.

Castings*

FY20 results – Well Positioned for Recovery

Castings*

Year-end trading update

SHORE CAPITAL - SAVANNAH ENERGY+ (SAVE, 38p, Under Review) – Agreement in Chad for new renewable energy projects

IOG - Forecast and valuation update

Forecast and valuation update

SHORE CAPITAL - SAVANNAH ENERGY+ (SAVE, 40p, Under Review) – FY21 results; completion of Chad-Cameroon entry expected in Q3

Pantheon Resources (PANR) - Significant Increase in Fair Value Estimate

We are increasing our fair value estimate for Pantheon Resources to 208p, from under review (previously 184p). The change reflects what we believe was an unambiguously positive winter drilling campaign. This full note details the background analysis to the change in estimate of fair value, which includes a valuation table and an assessment of the forthcoming Alkaid#2 well.

Exceptional transformation… and it may be just a beginning

With several opportunistic but timely acquisitions in 2021, coupled with the recent surge in the oil price, Zenith Energy has, in our view, completely transformed itself and its value proposition to investors. While for various reasons it has not been easy for the market to fully recognise and reward this transformation, we expect 1) doubling production, 2) further strengthening of its balance sheet and 3) becoming Free Cash Flow (FCF) generative this year, will make it difficult for the market

IOG - Trading update

Trading update

Cenkos: Chariot Ltd -- Fast-Tracking the Anchois Development

Chariot has signed a front-end engineering and design (FEED) agreement with Schlumberger and Subsea 7 (the Subsea Integration Alliance) for the Anchois gas development project. Chariot and the Subsea Integration Alliance will adopt a “one team” integrated and collaborative approach to fast-track first gas from Anchois to maximise the return on investment for all stakeholders. The scope of work covers all the development's offshore elements including well completions and subsea production systems

AfriTin Mining: Operational efficiencies continue to drive down unit costs in another record quarter for Phase 1

AfriTin Mining (“ATM”) has announced another record-breaking quarter from Uis Phase 1. Tin production increased 13% QoQ to 152t for the three months to May (Q1 FY’23), supported by record recoveries, which along with cost initiatives drove a 16% improvement in All-In Sustaining Costs. The strong performance continues to support growth projects including incorporation of petalite lithium and tantalum by-products, upon which AfriTin recently announced positive drilling and metallurgical test work

EQTEC - Key Milestone for Southport

EQTEC has reached a key milestone in its Southport energy from waste project with the appointment of Anaergia as EPC and O&M partner. This is a complex project using multiple waste treatment solutions and we see EQTEC’s inclusion as a demonstration that it’s technology can combine with these to create an optimal outcome.

Arrow Exploration - RCS-1 flow testing results

RCS-1 flow testing results

Cenkos: Trinity Exploration & Production Plc --Commencement of Drilling Programme

Trinity has announced the commencement of its highly anticipated onshore drilling campaign. The Company's fully funded, six well drilling programme will target an aggregate 450-1,100mmbbls of reserves at a cost of US$14-17m. In addition to drilling four “conventional” low angle wells, Trinity will also drill one horizontal well and one deeper appraisal well, with both the horizontal and deeper appraisal wells having the potential to deliver substantially higher production and economic returns ve

Cenkos: Wentworth Resources Plc -- 7.1% Yield and Growth

Wentworth has announced a positive operational update ahead of its AGM to be held later today. Daily production year-to-date (YTD) has averaged 92.2MMscf/d, a c15% YoY increase (2021: 79.9MMscf/d) and ahead of Wentworth's 2022 guidance of 75-85MMscf/d. As noted previously, the strong performance of the Mnazi Bay asset YTD has allowed Wentworth to increase its total dividend distribution in respect of 2021 to 1.7p per share, a yield of c7.1%. Mnazi Bay continues to supply Tanzania with half of th

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): 0.72 mmbbl sales will trigger a US$60 mm payment to PetroTal earlier than expected

• Section II of the Northern Peruvian Pipeline has been temporary re-opened. • As a result, 0.72 mmbbl of PetroTal’s Bretana oil has been tendered at the Bayovar port by Petroperu for the July lifting. This oil previously entered the pipeline in late 2020 for which PetroTal was paid just ~US$45/bbl at the time. • PetroTal will receive the difference between this price and the price at which Petroperu will sell the oil in July (~US$120/bbl), generating over US$60 mm of price adjustment true-up r

Cenkos: Wentworth Resources Plc -- Tanzania's Leading Domestic Gas Producer

Wentworth has announced the acquisition of a 25% non-operated working interest in the Ruvuma PSA from Scirocco Energy for an initial consideration of US$3m plus contingent payments of up to US$13m. The consideration is structured to ensure that the majority is only paid in a success case, providing Wentworth with a low-cost entry point into a high growth opportunity. The transaction has the potential to nearly double the Company's production by 2026 and add over 190Bcf of 2P reserves on a Final

Wentworth Resources plc (AIM: WEN): Delivering on targets

• 2022 YTD gross production was 92 mmcf/d, ahead of our expectations of 89 mmcf/d for 1H22. • The FY22 production guidance remains unchanged at 75-85 mmcf/d. It looks very conservative in our view. • The company currently holds US$26 mm in cash and no debt. This is in line with our expectations. • TPDC continues to be current with regards to receivables. • We re-iterate our target price of £0.45 per share. Steady growth and dividend Our Core NAV for the company based on its 2P reserves only i