SP Angel Morning Energiser: 22/08/23

Gas markets remain jittery

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 21/08/23

US rig count falls again

Auctus on Friday - 28/07/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: CN-2 flows at up to 1 mbbl/d. Focusing on developping the Ubaque at Carrizales Norte - The Carrizales Norte-2 well (CN-2) encountered 60’ of net pay in the Ubaque formation. The well has been put on production in the Ubaque with initial flow rates of 1,012 barrels of fluid per day. The water cut stabilized at 3% and the oil gravity is 13.6 API. The CN-2 well is currently

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 30/06/23

Brent averages $80/bbl in 1H23

Auctus on Friday - 30/06/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.100 per share: Exploration portfolio update in Austria: larger volume, lower risk – The exploration portfolio in Upper Austria is now estimated to hold 213 mmboe of best technical prospective resources (previously 200 mmboe) in 20 prospects. The importance of the upgrade is as much about risk reduction as it is about resources increase. The expansion of the portfolio also provides new opportuni

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 02/06/23

Oil moves up on improved sentiment

Auctus on Friday - 28/04/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 update – 1Q23 production in Austria was 299 boe/d. The company held A$3.41 mm in cash at the end of March. Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C: On track for near term acquisition – The FY22 financials were in line with our expectations. The company held C$3.7 mm in cash at YE22. Criterium has also filed the notice of intention to file a short form prospectus. This could be an indica

Auctus on Friday - 24/03/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Good flow rate at RCE-4 – The RCE-4 well has been put in production. It has produced at a rate of 728 bbl/d (364 bbl/d net to Arrow) of 28.5 API oil with a 1% water cut from the C7-A and C7 Stringer zones over the last 24 hours. This is a similar result as at RCE-3 (24 h flow rate of 968 bbl/d gross/484 bbl/d net). As was the case at RCE-3, the RCE-4 well is also flowing na

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 20/03/23

Energy prices extend losses

Auctus on Friday - 17/03/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.10 per share: Drilling news flow. Production growth. Value. – 2023 is expected to be a busy and transformational year for ADX. The company plans to grow gross production at Anshof (4.2 mmbbl net 2P reserves) to almost 1,000 bbl/d with two new wells by YE23. At that level, ADX can generate US$13 mm operating cashflow per year (after tax). This represents ~65% of the company’s market cap. The An

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 10/02/23

Crude prices end the week mid-range

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 27/01/23

Crude strengthens ahead of key meetings

Auctus on Friday - 27/02/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C: Target price of US$31 per share: Two new strong development wells at CPO-5 – Two new development wells, Indico 6 and Indico 7, tested over 11,000 bbl/d gross (in aggregate) with hardly any water (Indico 6: 6,270 bbl/d, Indico 7: 5,245 bbl/d). The wells are expected to be tied in later in 1Q23 and put on production at an initial constrained rate of 8 mbbl/d. This would take gross production from the field from ~20 mb

Auctus on Friday - 25/11/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target price of A$0.60 per share: Market cap paid back in 2 years, even after incorporating higher differentials - Four wells out of the five well 4Q22 programme have now been drilled with two wells already in production. Gemini#10 is producing in line with the type curve (IP of 120 boe/d gross and 60 boe/d net to Calima 50% WI). Gemini #11 was put into production on 24 November while Gemini#12 will be brought

Auctus on Friday - 28/10/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.060 per share: Good production rate at Anshof. Busy months ahead – Commercial production at Anshof-3 has started at a stable rate of 100 bbl/d (80 bbl/d net to ADX). This increases overall production by approximately 30% to >350 boe/d. The well is producing above expectations but is constrained by trucking and storage capacity. Production from Anshof-3 could increase in the future (the well wa

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties: Mexican standoff

LIBERUM: Sylvania Platinum: Record year for production

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - Paddington would be proud – initiating coverage

PetroTal is a London and Toronto-listed E&P company, holding a 100% interest in the Bretana field, onshore Peru. This delivered production of 19.0mbbl/d in Q2 2023, supporting strong cash flows for the company based on its established oil export routes, onshore cost profile and fiscal terms. On the back of these cash flows and a healthy balance sheet, PetroTal has now established returns to shareholders. As such, the stock offers a strong prospective yield of over 10%, alongside production grow

Independent confirmation of c.1bn barrels liquid hydrocarbons at Kodiak

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): Imminent partner in Morocco

• The US$2.7 mm cash position at the end of June is in line with our expectations. • Although inflation across the industry and rig availability had complicated and delayed the finalization of a farm-in agreement for Anchois in Morocco, negotiations on partnering are in the final stages. A partner could be announced very soon. • Progress has been made across the portfolio. Onshore Morocco, permitting is under way with drilling now expected to start in early 2024 with up to four wells. Prospects

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties*: Utah lithium royalty acquisition

Interim Results

Diversified reported strong interim results, with production that was marginally below our estimate more than outweighed by tight cost control to deliver EBITDA ahead of our forecast; we broadly retain our FY23 estimates.

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties: Benefitting from rising rate environment

Bushveld Minerals: Fully integrated vanadium exposure with potential for operational turnaround & share price rerating

We initiate coverage of Bushveld Minerals (“BMN”) with a price target of GBp9/sh, implying 339% upside to the current price. BMN is a fully integrated vanadium producer that operates mines and plants in South Africa, which we estimate will produce 3,700t of vanadium in 2023E, accounting for >3% of global supply. After operational difficulties, pricing headwinds, and associated balance sheet stress led to a steep de-rating in BMN shares, we expect a rerating to be driven by growing production and

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - Production and operations update

PetroTal has announced production numbers for July and August, maintaining full year guidance, alongside providing an operational update.

Bushveld Minerals: Investment agreed to strengthen balance sheet

Bushveld Minerals (“BMN”) has announced that it has signed a binding term sheet with a South African investment group, Southern Point Resources (“SPR”), that should provide a strengthened balance sheet and greater financial flexibility through cumulative funding of up to US$69.5m-US$77.5m. As part of the funding package, BMN will sell down 50% of its interest in the Vanchem plant and its 64% interest in the Mokopane deposit for a total consideration of US$25m. In our view, this package represent

Jersey Oil & Gas - Interims

Jersey Oil & Gas released its interim results for the period ended 30 June 2023 indicating that it had a period-end cash position of £5.6M, with no debt. The company stated that further cash receipts amounting to $9.4M will be due on completion of the FPSO acquisition agreement and $12.5M on Buchan FDP approval (from NEO Energy, pursuant to the farm-out agreement).

Interim results: solid performance amid challenging macro

The quality of CAML’s asset base came to the fore yet again in H1 2023 as the group maintained an impressively wide EBITDA margin despite the twin challenges of weaker base-metal prices and inflationary pressures on costs. The robust financial performance enabled CAML to declare a 9p interim dividend, maintaining its position amongst the top yielders in the junior mining sector. Capex requirements should reduce materially from next year as the project to transition to more flexible and sustainab

IOG (IOG LN) - Operational update

Blythe H2 well production update. IOG has released an operational update. This reports that gross production from the Blythe H2 well declined from 27.7mmcf/d to 21.2mmcf/d over the course of August, from an initial stabilised rate of 32mmcf/d in early July, with an average rate of 17.8mmcf/d gross achieved over August due to a planned one-week shutdown of the Bacton terminal.

Introduction of Vanchem partner alleviates pressure