Auctus on Friday - 08/09/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: target price of A$0.08 per share: Transaction with MND receives Austrian Ministerial acceptance – ADX has received clearance from the ministry of finance in Austria for the partnership documentation between ADX, MND and Xstate Resources. This was a key condition precedent to completing the transaction. The transaction will provide funding for the drilling of key wells at Anshof that are expected to add reserves an

COPL: New CEO/Chairman appointed alongside Equity Raise to ensure liquidity through Q1’24

COPL plans to raise US$3.5mm in new equity from Anavio Capital Partners, issuing 70mm shares and 70mm warrants both at a price of 4p/sh. The terms of the financing will see the the strike price for the outstanding 138mm warrants and conversion price of the remaining US$25mm in Convertible Bonds both amended to 4p/sh from 6.75p/sh. COPL has the full support of its existing Senior Credit Facility Lender who has agreed to provide (i) a continued waiver of the application of financial ratios (ii) re

COPL: Q2’23 results- Infrastructure upgrade plan to enhance H2’23 production

COPL’s pre-hedging revenue stood at US$5.6mm (-22% y/y) given a sharp drop in its realised sale price (-32% y/y) to US$71/bbl and operational interruptions, although production increased to 1,103 bbl/d (+15% y/y). Opex doubled y/y to US$2.8mm (US$27.5/bbl) but fell 9% q/q of which US$1.9mm were lifting costs. EBITDA was marginally positive pre-hedging. COPL’s net derivative liability amounted to -US$7.2mm. Cash flow from operations (pre- w/c) was -US$0.3mm. Capex for the quarter was US$4mm and w

Auctus on Friday - 18/08/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.08 per share: Drilling permit at key prospect awarded – The drilling permit for the Welchau prospect (807 bcfe prospective resources) has been awarded. The well is expected to be drilled in 4Q23 after receiving environment clearance. The permit allows drilling and testing of the Welchau-1 well, as well as a longer-term production test if required. Pulsar Helium (PLSR CN)C; target price of C$0.

Auctus on Friday - 07/07/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.55 per share: Financing priced – The C$22 mm offering for the acquisition of Mont D’Or Petroleum has been priced at C$0.20 per subscription receipt. Each subscription receipt will convert into a unit comprising one share and one warrant with an exercise price of C$0.25 per share valid for 36 months. On completion of the acquisition, Criterium will hold 1,050 bbl/d long life and high netba

Auctus on Friday - 09/06/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: No flow from the Gacheta but overall reserves addition from CN-1 larger than initially expected – The Gacheta zones proved unproductive at the CN 1 well location. Management is investigating potential reasons for the lack of productivity and plans to re-evaluate these Gacheta zones in future wells. The Gacheta zones were located above the Ubaque that flowed at rates >1,10

Auctus on Friday - 19/05/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Exploration success at Carrizales Norte –The Carrizales Norte-1 (CN-1) exploration well encountered a total of 148 feet of net oil pay measured depth (128 feet TVD) across three very high quality sands. We understand that this well above pre-drill expectations. This is the largest net oil pay encountered by a well so far on Tapir (RCE-5: 90 feet, RCE-4: 45 feet, RCE-3: 58

COPL: Site Visit Feedback and Model Update

Hannam & Partners had the opportunity to visit COPL's assets in Wyoming in late March and met with some of the key personnel responsible for the operations. In this note we describe the learnings and updated development plans, analyse the updated reserves report and we factor in the impact of the recent financings. Our major takeaways are that COPL’s early stage, high quality oil assets have significant resource potential to be unlocked, which have been held back by infrastructure, operational a

Auctus on Friday - 21/04/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate. While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA ran

Auctus on Friday - 03/02/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN)C: Target price of £0.45 per share: On track for a very busy 2023 – Arrow is about to embark on a 10 well drilling programme that could add between 2,800 and 4,800 boe/d net production (before decline and in a success case) to the existing constrained production base of ~1,800 boe/d. Over January, production was ~1,800 boe/d with short term outages due to weather at Ombu and Pepper. This compares with produc

An encouraging start to the year

COPL yesterday announced initial results of its first completion of a Frontier 1 well at Cole Creek. While we acknowledge that it would likely take a few more weeks of patience before one can make a more definitive judgement on the production potential of this formation, in our view the initial results are encouraging. At the very minimum, reported flow of oil from the Frontier 1 formation is already ahead of what the last CPR was classifying only as “prospective” resources. Furthermore, achievi

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 21/12/22

Dish of the day Joiners: Medcaw Investments Plc, epic MCI, has joined the Main Market on the Standard List. The Company was formed to undertake one or more acquisitions in the life sciences sector, particularly those that are focused on developing medical and/or wellness technologies and/or therapies. Leavers: ContourGlobal Plc, epic GLO, has left the Premium Segment of the Main Market. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** Quetzal Capital, to be renamed Tap Global Group, intends to join the AQSE

Auctus on Friday - 18/11/2022

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK50 per share: Dry hole in South Africa – The Gazania- 1 well did not encounter hydrocarbons. Panoro, Africa Energy (AFE CN/AEC SS) and Eco Atlantic (ECO LN/EOG CN) hold respectively 12.5%, 27.5% and 50% WI in the well. PetroTal (PTAL LN/TAL CN)C; Target price of £1.30 per share: Production returning to normal – 3Q22 production, cash and receivables/payables as at the end of September had bee

Takeaways and challenges from the third quarter

In addition to the operational updates provided in last few weeks, yesterday COPL also provided its 3Q22 financial results. While the production challenges were already highlighted in the previous updates, we now also have a better picture of their financial impact, and importantly, what that means for going forward. On the challenging side, the company experienced its lowest monthly production level in July and higher cash costs in the quarter. On the flip side, since July, the production has r

COPL: Potential JV Partner Would Provide External Validation and Possible Funding Option

COPL has released an operations and corporate objectives update. We believe the most important news is that COPL has been approached by a large oil company with operations in Wyoming to explore a Joint Venture to appraise and develop the Company’s Deep Oil Discovery. Technical due diligence is in process, and COPL will provide an update on its progression when appropriate. Given that the market appears, in our view, to be ascribing little value to the Deep Discovery, we see this as a sign of ext

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties: Mexican standoff

LIBERUM: Sylvania Platinum: Record year for production

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - Paddington would be proud – initiating coverage

PetroTal is a London and Toronto-listed E&P company, holding a 100% interest in the Bretana field, onshore Peru. This delivered production of 19.0mbbl/d in Q2 2023, supporting strong cash flows for the company based on its established oil export routes, onshore cost profile and fiscal terms. On the back of these cash flows and a healthy balance sheet, PetroTal has now established returns to shareholders. As such, the stock offers a strong prospective yield of over 10%, alongside production grow

Independent confirmation of c.1bn barrels liquid hydrocarbons at Kodiak

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): Imminent partner in Morocco

• The US$2.7 mm cash position at the end of June is in line with our expectations. • Although inflation across the industry and rig availability had complicated and delayed the finalization of a farm-in agreement for Anchois in Morocco, negotiations on partnering are in the final stages. A partner could be announced very soon. • Progress has been made across the portfolio. Onshore Morocco, permitting is under way with drilling now expected to start in early 2024 with up to four wells. Prospects

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties*: Utah lithium royalty acquisition

Interim Results

Diversified reported strong interim results, with production that was marginally below our estimate more than outweighed by tight cost control to deliver EBITDA ahead of our forecast; we broadly retain our FY23 estimates.

LIBERUM: Trident Royalties: Benefitting from rising rate environment

Bushveld Minerals: Fully integrated vanadium exposure with potential for operational turnaround & share price rerating

We initiate coverage of Bushveld Minerals (“BMN”) with a price target of GBp9/sh, implying 339% upside to the current price. BMN is a fully integrated vanadium producer that operates mines and plants in South Africa, which we estimate will produce 3,700t of vanadium in 2023E, accounting for >3% of global supply. After operational difficulties, pricing headwinds, and associated balance sheet stress led to a steep de-rating in BMN shares, we expect a rerating to be driven by growing production and

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - Production and operations update

PetroTal has announced production numbers for July and August, maintaining full year guidance, alongside providing an operational update.

Bushveld Minerals: Investment agreed to strengthen balance sheet

Bushveld Minerals (“BMN”) has announced that it has signed a binding term sheet with a South African investment group, Southern Point Resources (“SPR”), that should provide a strengthened balance sheet and greater financial flexibility through cumulative funding of up to US$69.5m-US$77.5m. As part of the funding package, BMN will sell down 50% of its interest in the Vanchem plant and its 64% interest in the Mokopane deposit for a total consideration of US$25m. In our view, this package represent

Jersey Oil & Gas - Interims

Jersey Oil & Gas released its interim results for the period ended 30 June 2023 indicating that it had a period-end cash position of £5.6M, with no debt. The company stated that further cash receipts amounting to $9.4M will be due on completion of the FPSO acquisition agreement and $12.5M on Buchan FDP approval (from NEO Energy, pursuant to the farm-out agreement).

Interim results: solid performance amid challenging macro

The quality of CAML’s asset base came to the fore yet again in H1 2023 as the group maintained an impressively wide EBITDA margin despite the twin challenges of weaker base-metal prices and inflationary pressures on costs. The robust financial performance enabled CAML to declare a 9p interim dividend, maintaining its position amongst the top yielders in the junior mining sector. Capex requirements should reduce materially from next year as the project to transition to more flexible and sustainab

IOG (IOG LN) - Operational update

Blythe H2 well production update. IOG has released an operational update. This reports that gross production from the Blythe H2 well declined from 27.7mmcf/d to 21.2mmcf/d over the course of August, from an initial stabilised rate of 32mmcf/d in early July, with an average rate of 17.8mmcf/d gross achieved over August due to a planned one-week shutdown of the Bacton terminal.

Introduction of Vanchem partner alleviates pressure