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E.ON’s Q1 22 exhibited relatively weak results due to the inability to pass on higher energy costs fully to end-customers. But the group made a point of showing confidence in its ability to recover these losses in subsequent quarters. Our view is rather cautious, but management’s pitch is convincing and, at least for now, backed by fragile visibility amid regulatory uncertainties.
Full-year guidance is confirmed, but one thing is clear: no margin for error in the rest of 2022.
Companies: E.ON SE
A rather solid set of FY21 results, higher than the consensus but slightly lower than our estimates, is not enough to offset the uncertainties to come. The impact of network losses and a risky exposure to the supply business are likely to tip the balance into negative territory regarding the exposure to soaring energy prices in 2022. Added to the Russian-linked uncertainties (NS1, gas supply), E.ON should remain the persona non grata of cautious investors’ portfolios until there is more visibili
E.ON unveiled its 2026 roadmap. The focus was on capex and network expansion to offset the lower regulated returns in the coming years. In all, nothing surprising, which from a market point of view means disappointment. The fnancial targets are in line with expectations while funding issues prevent further aggressiveness. E.ON is staying the course, business as usual. And this consequently lengthens the road to a rerating.
E.ON released a set of strong but expected 9M 21 results, with adjusted EBIT up by 46%. Positive effects from favourable weather conditions were the main driver. It allows the group to confirm its FY21 guidance, upgraded in H1.
Note a substantial improvement on the net debt, even if several one-offs have contributed.
Next trigger: the CMD on 23 November 2021.
What if the best solution for the energy transition were … nuclear power? Nuke is back at the heart of political debates in the context of the current energy crisis and massive but insufficient investments in renewables. This short review provides an overview of nuclear power in Europe and speculates on options. This ‘nuke optionality’, hinging on a favourable green taxonomy, is a game-changer for EDF, Centrica, Fortum but also Engie, Iberdrola, Enel and EDP.
The network giant beat estimates by 6% to reach €1.66bn in terms of EBIT (+14% yoy). Indeed, as the main growth driver, E.ON can be fully satisfied with its restructuring plan in the UK which pushed the Customer Solutions business up to return to profitability.
Furthermore, all short and mid-term guidances are confirmed. Strengthened by a good start to the year, we stand at the top of targets. Positive view reiterated.
E.on released slightly above expectations FY20 figures, but were globally in line with our estimates. Net income is better but the dividend slightly worse. The impact of COVID-19 remains limited and should be recovered. The good news comes from targets for the next three years that are revised upward. A good point is also on the initiated deleveraging process from 6x to 4.8-5.2x net debt/EBITDA. Our positive view is confirmed.
Compared to H1 19 pro forma, adjusted EBIT was down by 7%, to €2.7bn, due to lower volumes (related to lockdowns) and lower regulated WACC in Sweden. The group revised downwards its FY20 EBIT and net income guidance, the mid-points are down respectively 7% and 11%. However, assuming no further severe lockdowns, the dividend policy as well as the 2022 targets are confirmed. We confirm our positive long-term recommendation on the back of the RAB’s growth potential and expected synergies.
EBIT decreased by 6% to €1.5bn due to lower allowed WACC for assets in Sweden, mild weather in Europe and higher depreciation. In Q1, the impact of COVID-19 was limited. Following EBIT, adjusted net income was down 8% to €691m. In short, the figures are roughly in line with expectations and the group is showing great resilience in the face of current uncertainties.
The group confirmed its good progress over H2. The FY19 figures are perfectly in line with the guidance and our estimates. So good news, but expected. The group did not provide any specific details concerning the impact of COVID-19, but the overall impact should be limited as the guidance is roughly in line with our figures, and the group expects its dividend to grow by 5% per year up to 2022. Positive view confirmed.
After a down (but in line) in H1, the group showed a recovery in Q3. E.On’s adjusted EBIT was up 20% to €491m. Thanks to this and a more optimistic view of the conditions for Innogy’s integration, E.On slightly increased its EBIT annual guidance. The mid-point is up by 6%, to €3.1-3.3bn. The dividend remains unchanged, but the stock is already trading at an attractive yield of ~5%. Positive view confirmed.
EBIT as expected due to headwinds in the UK for the retail activities and thought comparatives for Energy Networks, while asset expansion helped to limit the decline. Economic net debt was up but mainly due to IFRS16 and lower discount rates for pensions. As all the figures were broadly in line and we do not expect any major changes to our target price
EBIT and adjusted net income was down, as expected, after an exceptionally high base in Q1 18. The group also suffered from fierce competition in the UK and a delayed pass-on higher grid feed to customers in Germany. Full-year guidance is confirmed, and the Innogy transaction is on track.
The fierce competition and the price cap in UK had a negative impact on the Customer Solutions segment, especially in Q4. Renewables capacity continues to grow, pushing up EBIT. The RAB target for 2020 is revised upward.
E.ON released a good set of 9M results. EBIT was up 11%, supported by strong growth in the renewables business as well as positive trading developments in the customer solutions division in Q3, although this likely to reverse in Q4. The group confirmed its FY18 objectives. We stick with our current Add recommendation.
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Volex has delivered final results that are ahead of expectation. Organic revenue growth of 19% reflects growing customer demand, alongside a particularly strong performance in EV which saw sales almost double. The Group has demonstrated its ability to manage both supply chain challenges and inflationary cost increases, albeit with a short time lag. Recent acquisitions have integrated well, building exposure to attractive higher growth market segments. The Group’s global footprint has resonated w
Companies: Volex plc
Singer Capital Markets
AFC has signed an agreement with another leading UK construction/infrastructure player, this time in Kier Group. We believe this further endorses our long term thesis that AFC will play an active role in encouraging the transition away from diesel-fuelled temporary power solutions. We believe its technology could help the sector make clear strides towards a net zero future, which has to commence now if they are to reach this target by 2045. The share price has been weak of late (in line with man
Companies: AFC Energy plc
Interim results from AFC contain few surprises and the group remains on track for the full year. The two main deltas versus our (unpublished) forecast were that the £2m stage payment from ABB were treated as deferred income rather than as revenue and that income from R&D tax credits was below our estimate. The first issue is an accounting issue which has no bearing on cash flow, while the second is likely a timing issue. On its own, the tax issue explains why period end cash, at £48.6m, was £1m
Weekly round-up of AIM-listed healthcare news.
Venture Life Group, GENinCode, Kromek, Alliance Pharma, Polarean Imaging, Benchmark Holdings, Ondine Biomedical, Verici Dx, Faron Pharmaceuticals, Avacta Group, Abingdon Health, Open Orphan, Belluscura, Hutchmed (China), Oxford Biodynamics
Companies: ANIC RUA CREO GENI HEIQ IHC IXI IUG OPTI SBTX VAL VLG
Companies: ITM Power PLC
Companies: Judges Scientific plc
SIMEC Atlantis’ full year statement and in particular its going concern statement show that financial risks remain following the decision not to proceed with the Uskmouth conversion. Yet the company has created a path through these risks with the creation of the 240MW Uskmouth battery project and further opportunities at the MeyGen tidal stream project. With MeyGen seeing the immediate benefit of an additional turbine in the water we see the current year as being a better one for the company.
Companies: SIMEC Atlantis Energy Ltd.
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Raven Property Group has left the Main Market.
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Immediate acquisitions (IME.L) is to re-join AIM via a Reverse Takeover of Fiinu Holdings Limited. Once complete the Company is proposing to change its name to Fiinu Group plc. Fiinu intends to be a provider of a consumer banking product, the Plugin Overdraft ®, which is designed to provide customers with an overdraft facility without having to change their current account or req
Companies: TRB CWR CCS DMTR EMAN GTC JSE KIBO MDZ SYM
SYM has announced an exclusive supply agreement for its d2p (designed-to-protect) antimicrobial technology with a major customer. Grupo Bimbo (NASDAQ: BIMBOA) is one of the largest bread manufacturers globally. The company has conducted extensive trials of d2p for its plastic bread packaging, with the aim of extending the life of products, improving hygiene, and reducing waste. The company has asked SYM to supply d2p for its nominated bread packaging manufacturers across the American continent f
Companies: Symphony Environmental Technologies plc
Powerhouse’s full-year results reinforce a picture of strong progress with considerable development of both the company and initial waste to hydrogen projects using the DMG technology. This is reflected financially, and cash burn is manageable with £9.8m of cash at the period end.
Companies: Powerhouse Energy Group PLC
ATOME’s trading update shows capacity expansion in Paraguay and good progress across the portfolio. The new capacity adds 50MW to take the Itaipu project to 300MW and increases our central case valuation to 183p from 173p.
Companies: Atome Energy PLC
Oil posted its first back-to-back weekly loss since early April as fears of a demand-sapping global recession and tighter US monetary policy ripped through commodity markets to spur a broad sell-off.
West Texas Intermediate fell 1.7% for the week to settle at $107.62. US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish testimony to Congress earlier in the week overshadowed a fundamentally tight market.
Prices clawed back some of the week's losses Friday as the University of Michigan's final June
Companies: FO 88E CHAR DEC EME GTC TRIN WEN
The shares now trade on 24.3x FY2022E earnings, versus a peer group trading on a blended 24.9x. Judges' shares more than regained their composure in early 2022, before events in Ukraine and continued Covid concerns (notably China) weighed on sentiment. As a result, some treading of water is likely in our view. But given the strength of the business (we believe earnings risk is towards the upside) and balance sheet, the quality of earnings and the company's continued ability to execute deals on s
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What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?
Immediate acquisitions (IME.L) is to re-join AIM via a Reverse Takeover of Fiinu Holdings Limited. Once complete the Company is proposing to change its name to Fiinu Group plc. Fiinu intends to be a provider of a consumer banking product, the Plugin Overdraft ®, which is designed to provide customers with an overdraft facility without having to change their current account or request an overdraft from their
Companies: SYM AXL BEG CBOX CASP ING NTBR
Companies: Invinity Energy Systems PLC